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11/9/2005
Below you will find a Table of Trade Motivations and a chart showing the trades, including detailed trade calculations.
For this “Best trade”, A trade (Buy Puts) is opened
in order to close it later with profit if the index moves in our favor.
| Chart 1: | Options trades on the S&P 500 index modulated volume. November, 2005. |
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| Chart 2: | S&P 500 Index A/D Issues Ratio |
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In Table 1 - a ''Table of Trade Motivators'' - we show the motivating factors that led us to take the above trades.
Table 1: Table of Trade Motivators
| Date | Trading Decision | Indicator | Description |
| 11/2/2005 | High PVO* (selling VMA surge) | On November 2, 2005 we noted a high-magnitude selling volume surge. The (2/20) PVO was 13.7%, indicating that that the average volume was more then 14% higher than it had been for the previous 20 trading days. | |
| 11/3/2005 | High PVO* (selling VMA surge) | On November 3, 2005 we noted a high-magnitude selling volume surge. The (2/20) PVO was 20.8%, indicating that that the average volume was more then 21% higher than it had been for the previous 20 trading days. | |
| 11/9/2005 | Point A: Buy Puts | Intraday VMA surge | On November 9, 2005 we noted a high-magnitude selling intraday volume surge. The (30-min/1-day) PVO was 59.6%, indicating that that the average modulated volume in period from 12:30 until 13:00 was more then 60% higher than it had been for the previous trading. |
* High PVO (Percentage Volume Oscillator) values indicate volume surges. As a rule, significant volume surges point to coming market reversals. | |||
Below we list in detail the actual trades made, along with the netted returns achieved.
Table 2: Details of the trades
| Date | Trade | Strike | Expiration | Contracts | Contract Price | Amount | Profit |
| 11/09/2005 | Buy QQQMO Puts | $41 | 1/20/2006 | 70 | $1.45 | - $10,150 |
For this “Best trade”, A trade (Buy Puts) is opened
in order to close it later with profit if the index moves in our favor.
In choosing the options for these trades, the following criteria were used:
- We chose options with at least two months left until expiry;
- We chose one of the cheapest available in-the-money options
11/9/2005
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