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"Best Trade" Newsletter (February 2, 2006)
2/2/2006
In the following example, we have based our
QQQQ options trades on S&P 500 index volume indicators and on advance /
decline indicators. Using the principles outlined below, you may wish to trade
options on the SPDRs (SPY), ^SPX, DIAMONDS Trust, Series 1 (DIA), as well as on
other underlies that generally tend to move in concert with the S&P 500 index.
It is also conceivable that an analysis similar to the one shown below could be
used to trade options based on the NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, and other indexes.
Below you will find a Table of Trade Motivations and a chart showing the trades,
including detailed trade calculations.
For this “Best trade”, A trade (Buy
Calls) is opened
in order to close it later with profit if the
index moves in our favor.
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Chart 1: |
Options trades on the
S&P 500 Advance Decline Indicators and High Magnitude Volume. February, 2006.
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In Table 1 - a "Table of Trade Motivators"
- we show the motivating factors that led us to take the above trades.
Table 1: Table of Trade Motivators
|
Date |
Trading
Decision |
Motivation |
| 01/20/2006 |
|
On January 20, 2006 we
noted extremely low market sentiment readings. The S&P 500 advance/decline (A/D) issues and A/D VOLUME ratios
reached critical levels of 0.11 and 0.09, respectively. This
revealed an extremely bearish market sentiment, indicating the market
was oversold and thus prone to trend reversals. |
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01/20/2006 |
|
On January 20, 2006 we noted a
high-magnitude buying volume surge. The (2/10) PVO was 16.2%, indicating that that the average volume was more
then 16% higher than it had been for the previous 10 trading days.
As a rule, significant volume surges point to coming market reversals. |
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02/02/2006 |
Buy Calls |
On February 2, 2006 we
noted low market sentiment readings. The S&P 500 advance/decline (A/D) issues and A/D
volume ratios
reached strongly bearish levels of 0.15 and 0.18 around 11:30, respectively. This
revealed an extremely bearish market sentiment, indicating the market
was oversold and thus prone to trend reversals. |
Below we list in detail the actual trades made,
along with the netted returns achieved..
Table 2: Details of the trades
|
Date |
Trade |
Strike |
Expiration |
Contracts |
Contract
Price |
|
02/02/2006 |
Buy QQQDO Calls |
$41 |
4/21/2006 |
70 |
$1.75 |
In choosing the options for these trades, the
following criteria were used:
- We chose options with at least two months
left until expiry;
- We chose one of the cheapest available
in-the-money options.
Fast Answers:
How can this chart be used by me?
Our main reason for publishing these charts is to allow our members to learn
by another example how they can make trades based on our volume
and advance/decline indicators. Members can gain a better understanding of how to enter
and exit the market, based on when a signal is generated. To learn from these
charts, you do not need to trade the specific security mentioned in this
publication, but whatever security you feel comfortable with. The principles for
trading QQQQ shares will not change when trading something like S&P 500 futures.
Should I try to paper trade before trading options?
Yes! We suggest that anyone who is new to our signals and analysis try doing
some paper trading to start, at least until they are comfortable with
interpreting our signals. Only very experienced traders should trade options
because of the high risk involved. You can always trade index shares instead of
options and still make a decent profit, but returns will not be as large.
Important:
The analysis results presented in the “Best Trade" may differ from
the outlook presented in the daily Market Commentaries. Results may also differ
from the trading signals generated for Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), or from any
other research and analysis efforts shared with our members. These are products
developed by independent research teams, delivered to MarketVolume® members.
While sharing some research results, these autonomous research teams may use
different systems and may have dissimilar market outlooks.
| Disclaimer: This newsletter is intended
for educational purposes only – it does not constitute trading advice,
nor does it make or imply any market trend predictions. This newsletter illustrates
examples based
principally on MarketVolume® index volume indicators and advance/decline (AD)
indicators. We do not mean to imply that you should follow
our exact trades, but rather wish to suggest that you may make use of our
analytics to develop your own trading style. |
2/2/2006 HGH Associated Traders
List of Trading Newsletters sent out in 2006
| Date |
|
| December 13, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (December 13, 2006) - Open Trade |
| December 12, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (December 12, 2006) - Open Trade |
| November 29, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (November 29, 2006) |
| November 28, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (November 28, 2006) - Open Trade |
| November 20, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (November 20, 2006) |
| November 17, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (November 17, 2006)- open trade |
| November 16, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (November 16, 2006)- open trade |
| November 13, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (November 13, 2006) |
| November 10, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (November 10, 2006)- Open Trade |
| October 25, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (October 25, 2006) |
| October 24, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (October 24, 2006) - open trade |
| October 02, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (October 2, 2006) |
| September 30, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (September 29, 2006) - open trade |
| September 11, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (September 11, 2006) |
| September 06, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (September 6, 2006) - open trade |
| August 10, 2006 |
Best Trade Newsletter (August 10, 2006) |
| August 09, 2006 |
Best Trade Newsletter (August 9, 2006) - open trade |
| July 31, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (July 31, 2006) |
| July 28, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (July 28, 2006) - open trade |
| July 27, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (July 27, 2006) - open trade |
| July 24, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (July 24, 2006) |
| July 21, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (July 21, 2006) - open trade |
| July 20, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (July 20, 2006) - open trade |
| July 14, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (July 14, 2006) - open trade |
| July 13, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (July 13, 2006) - open trade |
| July 12, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (July 12, 2006) - open trade |
| July 11, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (July 11, 2006) - open trade |
| July 04, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (June 4, 2006) - open trade |
| July 03, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (July 3, 2006) |
| June 28, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (June 28, 2006) |
| June 15, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (June 15, 2006) |
| May 08, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (May 8, 2006) |
| April 27, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (April 27, 2006) |
| April 26, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (April 26, 2006) |
| April 18, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (April 18, 2006) |
| April 17, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (April 17, 2006) |
| April 05, 2006 |
100% profit in 3 months by trading volume indicators. |
| March 29, 2006 |
Short-Term Trade (March 29, 2006) |
| March 28, 2006 |
Short-Term Trade (March 28, 2006) |
| March 21, 2006 |
Short-Term Trade Example |
| March 14, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (March 14, 2006) |
| March 10, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (March 10, 2006) |
| March 08, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (March 8, 2006) |
| March 03, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (March 3, 2006) |
| February 28, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (February 28, 2006) |
| February 08, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (February 8, 2006) |
| February 02, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (February 2, 2006) |
| January 31, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (January 31, 2006) |
| January 29, 2006 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (January 29, 2006) |
| January 20, 2006 |
Mid-Term Trade (January 20, 2006) |
| January 13, 2006 |
Short-Term Trade (January 13, 2006) |
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