Technical Analysis. Nasdaq 100,


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Best Short-Term Trade
June 6th, 2004

NOTE: We discuss our “best trades of the week” here mainly for educational purposes. The trading examples we illustrate are based principally on our volume indicators and market commentaries. Our main intent is to show you how you can apply our volume indicators and to explain the specific correlations that exist between volume spikes and the movement of the indexes. We do not mean to imply that you should follow our exact trades, but rather wish to suggest that you may make use of our volume analytics to develop your own trading style. We also urge you to paper trade before committing your money to the markets.

For this week’s “trade of the week”, "Buy QQQQ Puts #1,2" are opened
in order to close it later with profit if the index moves in our favor.

 

Nasdaq 100 Indicator
Nasdaq 100 stock chart

Sometimes your trades involve larger, sometimes smaller amounts of trading capital. Is this a marketing strategy or a trading tactic?
The varying amount of capital we allocate to each "Trade of the Week" is not random, nor is it a marketing gimmick. The amount we invest in a particular trade correlates directly to our interpretation of a specific volume signal. The stronger a signal, the more contracts we buy. Conversely, when our volume indicators are not as strong, or when other factors come into play (e.g., the geopolitical situation, options expirations, FED announcements, and others), we enter a trade with a smaller number of options contracts. We may hold back some cash (i.e., “keep some powder dry”) in anticipation of being able to purchase further contracts at “better” price in the near future. For instance, better prices may result from a “delayed volume reaction”, a situation where index movements do not show an immediate reaction to the appearance of a (significant) volume spike. Another reason why we may hold back some capital when faced with a weaker than usual volume signal is if we think the market could turn against us – in such a situation, a lower capital investment has the benefit of reducing potential losses.

In the following, we would like to show you the motivating factors that led us to take above trades. For this purpose, we have created what we call a 'Table of Trade Motivators':
 
Trade Volume Motivation
Buy Put #1
06/02/2004
Left opened
As the market began to move higher, it encountered a moderately resistive VMA spike to the upside at 12:30. The resistive volume did not reverse the advance, but managed to slow its pace. The market continued higher through to 13:30, when we noted a second moderately resistive VMA spike to the upside. During the market's afternoon rally, it encountered a moderately large resistive VMA spike to the upside, which came to a peak at 14:30.
Buy Put #2
06/04/2004
Left opened
The market opened with a substantial gap up. During the advance, a very large resistive VMA spike to the upside was generated at 12:45.

These are the trades which netted the returns shown above:


Date
Trade Strike Expiration Contracts Contract
Price
Amount Profit
06/02/2004 Buy Put #1 $37 July 50 $1.35 -$6750  
06/04/2004 Buy Put #2 $37 July 75 $1.35 -$10125  

Total:

+$0

For this week’s “trade of the week”, "Buy QQQQ Puts #1,2" are opened
in order to close it later with profit if the index moves in our favor.

To see any of our past best trades, simply select from the list below.

Date Indicator
September 25, 2004 QQQQ Options
September 18, 2004 QQQQ Options
September 10, 2004 QQQQ Options
September 9, 2004 QQQQ Options
September 7, 2004 QQQQ Options
September 2, 2004 QQQQ Options
August 31, 2004 QQQQ Options
August 19, 2004 QQQQ Options
August 18, 2004 QQQQ Options
August 15, 2004 QQQQ Options
August 5, 2004 QQQQ Options
August 3, 2004 QQQQ Options
July 31 2004 QQQQ Options
July 21, 2004 QQQQ Options
July 14, 2004 QQQQ Options
July 13, 2004 QQQQ Options
July 1, 2004 QQQQ Options
June 23, 2004 QQQQ Options
June 20, 2004 QQQQ Options
June 6, 2004 QQQQ Options
May 30, 2004 QQQQ Options
May 25, 2004 QQQQ Options
May 20, 2004 QQQQ Options
May 16, 2004 QQQQ Options
May 12, 2004 QQQQ Options
May 09, 2004 QQQQ Options
April 29, 2004 QQQQ Options
April 22, 2004 QQQQ Options
April 18, 2004 QQQQ Options
April 10, 2004 QQQQ Options
April 6, 2004 S&P 500 Options
March 28, 2004 QQQQ Options
March 14, 2004 QQQQ Options
March 7, 2004 QQQQ Options
February 29, 2004 QQQQ Options
February 22, 2004 QQQQ Options
February 15, 2004 QQQQ Options
February 8, 2004 QQQQ Options
February 1, 2004 QQQQ Options
January 25, 2004 QQQQ Options
January 18, 2004 QQQQ Options
January 12, 2004 QQQQ Options
QQQQ Trading System
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